Definition
A CCBT is the proposed price of a hypothetical universal AI token whose composition reflects which qualifying models a defined market actually uses and what those model tokens cost.
Tokens are the common commercial unit by which model consumption is measured and priced, but they are not standardized economic units. Each model has its own tokenization, architecture, computational requirements, pricing structure, and performance characteristics.
CCBT does not reconstruct all underlying compute costs or measure intrinsic model quality. It takes observable model-token prices as its starting point and establishes a common denominator against which market participants can evaluate capability, efficiency, and usefulness for themselves.
Basic Formula
For a defined CCBT class c at time t:
Where Pi,t is the observable standardized token price of qualifying model i, wi,t is its share of qualifying utilization, and n is the number of models in the relevant basket.
Equivalently:
In plain language: observe each qualifying model’s standardized token price, determine its share of relevant utilization, multiply price by utilization weight, and sum the results.
Usage means aggregate market consumption. The weight is based on qualifying tokens consumed across the defined market, not a customer’s preferred model allocation. Prices are observable model-token prices on a consistent economic basis; the implementation specifies how different price types are normalized.
Index Construction, Numeraire Purpose
The mathematics are conceptually comparable to a basic price index: heterogeneous prices are combined using weights that represent their relative importance in a defined market.
The intended purpose is different. CCBT is not merely proposed to describe whether inference has become more or less expensive. The basket constructs a standard denomination in which model costs themselves can be expressed. A model might trade at 0.8 CCBT, 1.0 CCBT, or 1.2 CCBT relative to its class.
CCBT does not decide whether a 20% premium is justified. The user compares that common cost difference against the value generated for its particular workload. The market determines price; the user determines value.
Assumption of Liquid Compute
The theoretical basis begins with a simplifying assumption: underlying compute is treated as fungible, liquid, and globally available at a prevailing market price. Real markets will not perfectly satisfy this assumption.
Geography, latency, hardware scarcity, capacity guarantees, data residency, availability, provider quality, contractual terms, and credit could be expressed as premiums or discounts around the common reference.
CCBT Model Classes
There need not be one basket for all AI. Economically distinct markets can have separate specifications with common methodology but different eligibility rules.
GenAI Inference
Broad qualifying general-purpose inference.
Frontier
Qualifying frontier general-purpose models.
Open Inference
Qualifying open-model inference.
Coding
Software-development workloads.
World Models
Qualifying world-model workloads.
Dynamic Composition
CCBT is intended to represent the market that exists, not a fixed collection of models. Weights change as utilization changes. New models can enter after satisfying eligibility and liquidity rules; obsolete or immaterial models can leave.
This is essential to long-term measurement. The denomination does not require today’s models to remain relevant or today’s hardware to remain in service.
Future AI Consumption
A contract tied to a contemporary GPU or model can become obsolete with its underlying technology. CCBT is proposed to separate the economic quantity of future AI consumption from the particular model through which it ultimately occurs.
A deliverable structure could allow a buyer to contract for a CCBT purchasing balance and allocate it among qualifying models at delivery according to prevailing conversion prices. This is a separate contract-design claim from the benchmark formula itself: CCBT is the denomination; each trade still needs an explicit settlement and delivery specification.
A quantity contracted for future delivery references the market then in effect. A 100M CCBT balance is not a frozen claim on today’s models: at delivery, the qualifying universe and contemporary conversion prices determine how it can be allocated. The market’s weights construct the reference; the buyer chooses its own consumption mix.
Open Methodology Questions
- PricesHow input, output, cached, batch, committed-volume, and bundled prices should be normalized.
- UtilizationWhich data sources credibly measure qualifying usage and how sampling bias should be addressed.
- EligibilityHow models enter, leave, or move between economically distinct classes.
- TimingMeasurement windows, publication frequency, lags, rebalancing, and restatement policy.
- GovernanceOversight, conflicts, manipulation resistance, auditability, licensing, and exceptional-market procedures.
- ContractsCash versus physical settlement, delivery rights, provider obligations, basis adjustments, credit, and regulation.
CCBT does not try to solve every variable that makes AI economics complicated. It proposes a common denomination through which the market can price their combined result.
From Standard to Research Implementation
The general model defines the economic object: a usage-weighted price for qualifying market consumption. A specific implementation defines the universe, observable price convention, aggregate usage sources, measurement windows, and publication rules.
The theoretical target is the price of what the whole defined market consumes. Observations from one provider or broker must be described in terms of their actual coverage; they are not automatically the entire market.
Dated observations, source records, implementation status, and release notes now have their own home in Research. Fictional demonstrations remain separate.
Work on the methodology.
Discuss pricing conventions, representative usage data, eligibility, or publication rules.
Discuss the research